How it works
Your FIRE number is the portfolio that could fund your yearly spending at a chosen withdrawal rate. The calculator then grows what you have today, plus your monthly saving, at a real return (after fees and inflation) until it reaches that number.
real return = (1 + return − fee) ÷ (1 + inflation) − 1
An example
Spending $40,000 a year at a 4% withdrawal rate gives a FIRE number of $1,000,000. Starting with $50,000 invested and saving $1,500 a month at 7% with 2.5% inflation, you'd get there in about 25.8 years.
Getting there sooner
- Spend less. Every $1,000 cut from yearly spending lowers the target by $25,000 at 4%.
- Save more. The table above shows how much each extra monthly amount brings the date forward.
- Keep costs low. Fees come straight out of your real return — see the ETF Fee Calculator.
- Start now. Time in the market does a large share of the work — see How Much to Invest Monthly.
Frequently asked questions
What is FIRE?
Financial Independence, Retire Early. The idea is to save and invest enough that your portfolio can cover your living costs indefinitely, so work becomes optional.
How is the FIRE number calculated?
Divide your yearly spending by your safe withdrawal rate. At 4%, that's your spending × 25: $40,000 a year needs about $1,000,000. At 3.5%, it's roughly × 28.6.
What is the 4% rule?
A rule of thumb from US research in the 1990s: historically, withdrawing 4% of a portfolio in the first year, then adjusting for inflation, lasted at least 30 years in most periods tested. Early retirees planning for 40–50 years often use 3–3.5% for a bigger safety margin.
Why does the calculator use today's money?
Your spending will rise with inflation, so the target does too. Working in today's money — using a real return of investment return minus inflation — keeps every number comparable to prices now.
What doesn't this include?
Taxes on withdrawals, pensions or state benefits, part-time income, and market ups and downs. A real plan should account for those; this shows the core maths.